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Journal of Medical Entomology

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Preprints posted in the last 30 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of Medical Entomology's content profile, based on 18 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Evidence of fitness costs associated with Ace-1R-mediated resistance to pirimiphos-methyl in Anopheles gambiae sensu lato following the withdrawal of indoor residual spraying in Burkina Faso

karama, d. o.; Hien, A. S.; Soma, D. D.; Ngaffo, K. L.; Maiga, S.; Kabore, D. P. A.; Bamogo, R.; Meda, B. G.; Namountougou, M.; Dabire, R. K.

2026-08-10 zoology 10.64898/2026.08.07.743444 medRxiv
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IntroductionChanges in vector control strategies alter the selection pressures exerted on natural populations of Anopheles gambiae s.l. and may influence the dynamics of insecticide resistance mechanisms. However, the consequences of discontinuing indoor residual spraying (IRS) campaigns on the evolution of Ace-1-mediated resistance remain poorly documented under natural conditions. This study aimed to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of resistance to pirimiphos-methyl following the cessation of IRS and to investigate evidence consistent with the existence of a biological cost associated with Ace-1-mediated resistance. MethodsNatural populations of An. gambiae s.l. were collected between 2017 and 2023 in three districts in Burkina Faso that had undergone IRS campaigns (Kampti, Solenzo, and Kongoussi). Susceptibility tests with pirimiphos-methyl (0.25%) were conducted out following WHO protocols, and a subsample of exposed mosquitoes was genotyped to detect the Ace-1 G119S mutation. Spatiotemporal trends in mortality, allele frequencies and genotypes were analyzed according to the pre-IRS, IRS, and post-IRS periods. The association between the Ace-1 genotype and survival following exposure to pirimiphos-methyl was assessed using logistic regression, while the concordance between phenotypic and molecular indicators of resistance was examined using Spearmans correlation. ResultsThe susceptibility of An. gambiae s.l. populations to pirimiphos-methyl was gradually restored after the discontinuation of IRS at all sites. At the same time, the frequencies of the Ace-1 119S resistance allele declined sharply, particularly in Kampti and Solenzo, while they remained low in Kongoussi throughout the study period. Mosquitoes carrying resistant genotypes had a significantly higher probability of survival after exposure to pirimiphos-methyl than susceptible homozygotes, with resistant homozygotes (RR) exhibiting the greatest survival advantage (OR = 27.62; 95% CI: 6.91-110.45; p < 0.001). A significant negative correlation was observed between the frequency of the Ace-1 119S allele and phenotypic mortality ({rho} = -0.48; p = 0.033), indicating a concordance between the two indicators of resistance. The progressive decline in allele frequencies, the decreasing prevalence of resistant genotypes, and the concomitant restoration of susceptibility are field observations consistent with the existence of biological costs associated with Ace-1-mediated resistance. ConclusionThis study provides field evidence consistent with the existence of biological costs associated with Ace-1-mediated resistance in natural populations of An. gambiae s.l. These results underscore the value of an adaptive resistance management strategy based on alternating selection pressures and could guide future vector control strategies, particularly if indoor residual spraying campaigns or other interventions relying on organophosphates were reintroduced.

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The Taxonomic Status and Phylogenetic Relationships of Toxorhynchites (Diptera: Culicidae) Species from Panama

Richard, B.-V.; Chong, M.; Rojas, A. L.; Vega, Y.; Loaiza, J. R.

2026-08-18 evolutionary biology 10.64898/2026.08.10.744079 medRxiv
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Mosquitoes in the Toxorhynchites genus (Theobald, 1901) are specialized predators of container-breeding mosquito larvae, including major Aedes disease vectors. Despite their biological control potential, species boundaries and phylogenetic relationships remain poorly understood. Utilizing country-wide sampling across Panama, we evaluated the taxonomic status and diversity of local Toxorhynchites species. We collected 147 specimens from artificial and natural containers, yielding 97 cytochrome c oxidase subunit I barcodes from 101 sequenced individuals. A Panama-only Neighbor-Joining analysis revealed four distinct, well-supported clusters (I - IV) exhibiting high mean inter-cluster genetic divergence (4.8 - 20.2%), alongside morphological and ecological segregation. A subsequent global Neighbor-Joining analysis incorporating BOLD and GenBank sequences recovered Toxorhynchites as a strongly supported monophyletic group (99.0% bootstrap support) and revealed deep phylogenetic divergence separating Old World Toxorhynchites (Toxorhynchites) (Clades A and B) from New World Toxorhynchites (Lynchiella) (Clades C - G) lineages. Panamanian Clusters I and II formed two distinct groupings within Clade G, nesting as sisters to Subclade G1 characterized by severe taxonomic discordance involving sequences labeled as Tx. moctezuma, Tx. theobaldi, and Tx. rutilus. Cluster III nested within Tx. hypoptes (1.5% divergence) in Clade E, whereas Cluster IV associated with Tx. haemorrhoidalis s.l. (>5.0% divergence) in Clade C. The high degree of taxonomic uncertainty or cryptic diversity uncovered within Clades C, D, and G underscores an urgent need for formal taxonomic revision to accurately delimit species boundaries. Due to its widespread peri-urban distribution, Cluster I (within the Tx. moctezuma s.l. complex) shows the greatest promise for mass-rearing and Aedes biocontrol applications in Panama.

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Predicting Historic, Contemporary, And Future Distributions Of Culex Coronator Following Rapid Range Expansion

Magaletta, O.; Bauer, A.; Lee, Y.; Campbell, L. P.; Thongsripong, P.

2026-08-11 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.05.742963 medRxiv
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Invasive mosquito species pose substantial risks to human and animal health. Since 2004, Culex coronator, a mosquito vector species of public health concern, has shown rapid range expansion within the United States, spreading from a historically limited distribution in southern Texas to across the Gulf Coast region and into eastern and mid-Atlantic states. However, changes in environmental suitability associated with this expansion across historical, contemporary, and future climate conditions have not been evaluated. Here, we used species distribution models (SDMs) to compare predictions of abiotic suitability for Cx. coronator under historic (1960-1989) and recent (2000-2024) climate conditions calibrated on the historical range in the United States. We also created a contemporary SDM based on occurrence records prior to and following species range expansion (1960-2024), and further, to predict potential distributions under current and future climate conditions. Models calibrated on the historical range predicted only modest changes in suitability along the Gulf Coast region and failed to identify large areas of the humid subtropical eastern United States that are now occupied. In contrast, the contemporary model predicted widespread suitability across much of the southern and eastern United States. Future projections under the mid-range SSP3 scenario predicted increasing suitability at higher latitudes and elevations. Across all models, suitability was consistently low in arid and semi-arid regions, including along the historical western range limit, suggesting that moisture availability may constrain Cx. coronator distributions. Together, these results highlight the need to incorporate updated occurrence records when modeling invasive mosquito species to strengthen surveillance and control strategies.

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Potential impacts of supplementing next generation long-lasting insecticidal nets with household-scale micro-mosaic deployment of indoor residual spraying with insecticides upon rates of incipient resistance trait emergence and selection

Chinula, D.; Mziray, N.; Hobbs, N. P.; Hamainza, B.; Reed, T.; Kiware, S.; Killeen, G. F.

2026-08-23 genetics 10.64898/2026.08.18.745509 medRxiv
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Prolonged use of the few insecticide classes available for long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) and indoor residual spraying (IRS) has driven widespread physiological resistance of malaria vector mosquitoes to this limited arsenal of active ingredients. However, recent innovations like next-generation LLINs (NG-LLINs) containing two complementary insecticides and new insecticide classes for IRS offer new opportunities for pre-emptive resistance management by deploying more diversified actives as mixtures, combinations, rotations or mosaics. Here a deterministic model of mosquito foraging behaviour was formulated to predict the probabilities of deterrence, mortality or successful feeding across repeated feeding attempts in scenarios with different combinations of NG-LLINs and/or IRS micro-mosaics with varying levels of insecticide diversification between neighbouring houses. Final fates were classified based on whether or not the mosquito eventually died or successfully fed, and whether the latter occurred indoors or outdoors after exposure to zero, one or several IRS insecticides. The primary outcome was the probability that a single F mosquito carrying a novel resistance trait to a new IRS insecticide successfully feeds, survives and reproduces, thereby establishing those traits within the population. The secondary outcome was the selection coefficient governing the spread of such novel resistance traits from the F generation onwards. For highly anthropophagic and endophagic vectors like Anopheles funestus, combining NG-LLINs with IRS micro-mosaics using two insecticides may reduce emergence rates for novel resistance traits against IRS insecticides by approximately 2 to 2.5-fold, mainly through direct killing by NG-LLINs, although exposure to both IRS actives when forced to visit multiple houses also contributes to a lesser extent. However, such resistance management benefits are fundamentally constrained by outdoor feeding behaviours that limit or completely prevent indoor insecticide exposure. Increasing IRS micro-mosaic insecticide diversity beyond two actives is unlikely to further dampen resistance emergence rates because few mosquitoes survive long enough without feeding to encounter several IRS treatments. Once a resistance trait becomes established in the vector population, selection coefficients remain consistently high enough to force the spread of those traits, regardless of intervention combination. For more exophagic, zoophagic vectors like An. arabiensis, NG-LLINs plus IRS micro-mosaics are not expected to provide any meaningful resistance management benefit because frequent outdoor feeding, often on animals, allows them to largely avoid insecticide exposure altogether. Exclusively indoor-focused vector control strategies may not satisfactorily slow insecticide resistance emergence and spread, so new outdoor protection measures that close these coverage gaps with complementary insecticides will be needed.

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Male Age and Sexual Maturity: Lipopolysaccharide-induced tumor necrosis factor influences sperm quality and reproduction in Anopheles culicifacies

Rohilla, P.; Saini, V.; Srivastava, V.; Yadav, P.; Sankhala, N.; Singh, T.; Sharma, G.; Tandon, G.; Tyagi, S.; Rani, J.; Dixit, R.

2026-09-01 developmental biology 10.64898/2026.08.31.748190 medRxiv
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Elucidating the biological and molecular mechanisms that govern male fertility and mating behavior in mosquitoes is critical for optimizing genetic and sterile insect technique-based vector control strategies. Here, we examined age-related changes in male reproductive capacity in Anopheles culicifacies, using female egg output as an indirect indicator of male fertility. Our results demonstrated that male reproductive age follows a non-linear pattern of fertility. Morphometric analysis from emergence to day 13 post-eclosion revealed a strong correlation between seminal vesicle capacity and female fecundity, suggesting that age-dependent gonadal development directly influences reproductive potential. At the molecular level, we identified AcLITAF6 as a key regulator of male reproductive homeostasis. RNAi-mediated knockdown of AcLITAF6 impaired apoptosis-associated and phagocytic clearance, reduced sperm viability, and decreased female productive outcomes. Conclusively, we reveal a previously unrecognized role of LITAF in sperm quality control and male reproductive fitness, highlighting AcLITAF6 as a potential target for mosquito population suppression strategies.

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Complete mitochondrial genomes of Arizona West Nile virus vectors, Culex quinquefasciatus and Culex tarsalis

Barrand, Z. A.; Ridenour, C. L.; Erickson, D. E.; Rivas, A. N.; Schmidt, B. K.; Will, J.; Young, S. J.; Busser, N.; Townsend, J.; Enriquez, D.; Murphy, D.; Wong, S.; Keats, J.; Carvalho, S. T.; Attardo, G. M.; Barker, C. M.; Hepp, C. M.

2026-08-21 genomics 10.64898/2026.08.14.744795 medRxiv
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Here we report a newly developed method utilizing long-range PCR and long-read Pacific Biosciences HiFi sequencing that successfully obtained two full-length and annotated mitochondrial genomes from Culex quinquefasciatus Say, 1823 and Culex tarsalis Coquillett, 1896, both from Maricopa County, Arizona, USA. Given the substantial burden of West Nile virus in Maricopa County over the past decade, and that these vectors are primarily responsible for spillover to human populations in the county, it is critical to better understand their distribution over time and space. This study begins to approach this need by contributing a novel approach that has resulted in the first West Nile virus vector mitochondrial genomes from Arizona. Our circular Cx. quinquefasciatus mitogenome is 15,587 bp in length, making it the first USA-based mitogenome sequenced through the AT-rich control region. The Cx. tarsalis mitochondrial genome is 16,416 bp long, longer than recently published California-based CTarK1 and Texas-based PQ585801 mitogenomes. The increased length of the Cx. tarsalis mitogenome is a result of a 905 bp insertion in the AT-rich control region, not present in the species publicly available mitogenomes. A maximum likelihood-based phylogenetic reconstruction supports the species designation of these newly-sequenced mitogenomes. The newly developed methodology offers a unique approach to study medically-important vector species around the globe, providing a solution to study populations through pooled vector pathogen surveillance programs.

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Novel ddPCR diagnostic assays for the high-throughput surveillance of Kdr mutations in Aedes albopictus

NADALIN, L.; GAUDE, T.; LAPORTE, F.; RENAUD, J.; MULAT, C.; REY, D.; LAMBERT, G.; LE DOEUFF-LE ROY, N.; LACOUR, G.; MIGNOTTE, A.; ALTHAUS, T.; COSTANTINI, A.; MAVRIDIS, K.; PICHLER, V.; CAPUTO, B.; BONNEVILLE, J.-M.; DAVID, J.-P.

2026-08-07 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.06.743222 medRxiv
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BackgroundResistance of the arbovirus vector Aedes albopictus to pyrethroid insecticides is an emerging threat to vector control programs in Europe. Three knock-down resistance (Kdr) mutations affecting the voltage-gated sodium channels targeted by pyrethroids are known to confer resistance: V1016G, I1532T and F1534C. As these Kdr mutations are actively circulating in Europe, their monitoring is crucial for resistance surveillance programs. However, current Kdr genotyping methods are labor-intensive and costly, limiting their applicability for large-scale high-throughput surveillance. MethodologyNovel digital droplet PCR (ddPCR) TaqMan assays were developed, allowing the quantification of these Kdr mutations from pooled mosquito samples from field populations. The specificity of these assays was validated by using mosquitoes of known genotypes together with synthetic DNA constructs carrying haplotype combinations previously unseen in the field. The assays accuracy was assessed by comparing Kdr frequencies measured from pooled mosquitoes to those derived from individual genotypes. These assays were then used in a pilot surveillance study in mainland France, integrating deltamethrin bioassays, pooled Kdr mutation tracking and vector control interventions data. FindingsThe developed ddPCR assays demonstrated high accuracy and specificity, with matching Kdr mutation frequencies between pooled samples and individual genotyping. The pilot surveillance study confirmed the low prevalence of Kdr V1016G and I1532T mutations in most French populations, though some populations exhibited a moderate decrease in susceptibility to deltamethrin. Deltamethrin spraying intensity was weakly correlated with Kdr I1532T mutation frequency while no correlation was observed with deltamethrin susceptibility, suggesting that insecticide selective pressure from curative vector control activities is at most a minor driver of resistance. ConclusionThese novel ddPCR assays provide a simple, cost-effective and high-throughput method for quantifying the frequency of Kdr mutations in Ae. albopictus populations. Their implementation in routine country-wide surveillance programs will enhance the detection of emerging resistance, and inform vector control strategies, preventing arboviral disease transmission. Author summaryAedes albopictus, the Asian tiger mosquito, is an emerging global threat due to its ability to transmit the dengue, chikungunya and Zika viruses among others. Recurrent use of insecticides to prevent infections selects resistant mosquitoes. Kdr (knock-down resistance) mutations confer resistance to pyrethroid insecticides, like deltamethrin. In order to track the arrival of these mutations in a population, individual PCR tests are routinely used, which is very inefficient and costly. The digital droplet PCR tests presented in this study can instead be performed on pools of mosquitoes from the field, greatly increasing the output while reducing the costs. This makes them ideal for use in the surveillance of these mutations in field populations. We first confirmed that the tests are as efficient in pools as they are on single mosquitoes, then we applied these tests in a pilot study on French field mosquitoes to demonstrate their applicability for use in surveillance. Finally, we explored the link between deltamethrin sprayings, bioassay mortality and Kdr mutations frequency, which is non-existent. This means the current management of mosquito populations via insecticide use is sensible. We believe these tests have a place in streamlining the future surveillance programs of these mutations in the field.

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PCR-based assays for determining mating status in field-weathered Ceratitis capitata with enhanced precision across conventional, quantitative, and droplet digital platforms

Marcelino, J.; Zuck, C.; Urbina, H.; Moore, M.; Siderhurst, M.; Hurst, A.; Fairbanks, K.; Stanley, J.

2026-08-20 genetics 10.64898/2026.08.12.744474 medRxiv
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Accurately determining the mating status of the agricultural fruit fly pest Ceratitis capitata, commonly known as Medfly, is essential for timely and effective eradication efforts. To overcome the limitations of subjective DAPI-based staining assessments of females captured in Jackson dry traps and Multilure liquid traps, we developed a multi-tier molecular diagnostic method that unequivocally detects mating status using DNA probes targeting the male-specific Y114 locus on the Y-chromosome of the species. Our protocol integrates morphological evaluation with increasingly sensitive molecular assays through the following steps: 1) A preliminary quality assessment of the specimens physical condition, DNA preservation, and mating status using conventional PCR followed by agarose electrophoresis (cPCR); 2) Quantification and real-time detection of sperm presence via quantitative PCR (qPCR); and 3) Detection of trace sperm amounts through droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). This PCR-based framework is designed for samples collected in the field, enabling accurate analysis of specimens exposed to adverse environmental conditions and varying levels of preservation after 2- and 3-weeks weathering times in traps. It allows quantitative determination of mating status even when sperm concentrations are extremely low, such as during transient copulation, and achieves detection limits down to approximately 14 spermatozoa in a mated female. By accounting for variable specimen quality and the performance characteristics of each molecular platform, this tiered approach ensures highly sensitive and unequivocal detection of mated females. The methodology can be used to assist eradication efforts across the C. capitata geographic range through the timely detection of mated females, halting their expansion and establishment into novel regions reducing control and eradication costs.

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Efficacy of 60 personal mosquito repellents and perfumes against Aedes aegypti mosquitoes

Ross, P. A.; Paris, V.; Warusawithana, A. L.; Romualdez, K. D. X.; Dorai, A. P. S.; Kaur, J.; Md Yatim, M. F.; Li, L.; Hoffmann, A. A.

2026-08-28 zoology 10.64898/2026.08.27.747522 medRxiv
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Personal insect repellents can offer an effective means of preventing mosquito bites. Despite a wide variety of products that claim to repel mosquitoes, relatively few studies have systematically compared their performance through standardized tests. In Australia, chemical-based repellents must be registered with the Australian Pesticides and Veterinary Medicines Authority (APVMA); however, many unregistered products with unverified effectiveness remain commercially available. Here, we tested 55 insect repellents and 5 non-repellent perfumes and deodorants sold in Australia for their protection against Aedes aegypti mosquito landings (as a proxy for bites) using arm-in-cage assays across eight human subjects. We tested 43 topical repellents (containing 18 different primary active ingredients), four wristbands, three clothing stickers, three ultrasonic devices, one garment, one repellent applied to fabric, two perfumes, two deodorants and one antiperspirant. Thirteen repellents, including all wristbands, stickers and ultrasonic devices did not provide complete protection against mosquito landings for any human subject, while a further sixteen provided complete protection for 1 hr or less on average. Repellents containing DEET, oil of lemon eucalyptus, picaridin and IR3535 as the primary active ingredient were the only products that provided more than 2 hours of complete protection, but with significant variation among products with the same active ingredient. Only 7/30 essential oil-based topical repellents and perfumes provided complete protection for greater than 1 hr. Nearly half (25/52) of the repellents subject to registration with the APVMA were unregistered despite being advertised or labelled as mosquito repellents, and these tended to be less effective than registered products. Only 5/28 repellents met or exceeded their claimed protection time. This study highlights the prevalence of unregistered and ineffective mosquito repellents on the Australian market while providing evidence for products and active ingredients that do protect against mosquito bites under laboratory conditions.

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Efficacy of an attractive lethal ovitrap to reduce populations of Aedes mosquitoes: a controlled trial in Iquitos, Peru

Wesson, D. M.; Paz-Soldan, V. A.; Long, K. C.; Ponnusamy, L.; Jameson, S. B.; Davis, J. K.; Moudy, R. M.; Vizcarra, A. S.; Astete, H.; Bazan, I.; Vilcarromero, S.; Siles, C.; Guevara, C.; Halsey, E. S.; Schal, C.; Scott, T. W.; Apperson, C. S.; Morrison, A. C.

2026-08-18 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.10.743873 medRxiv
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IntroductionDengue, one of the most important arboviral infections worldwide, is transmitted primarily by the mosquito Aedes aegypti, a vector closely associated with human habitations. Because vector control is the primary prevention strategy for this disease novel tools are urgently needed. We evaluated an Attractive Lethal OviTrap (ALOT) that targets epidemiologically relevant gravid female mosquitoes for public health impact against dengue disease. MethodsWe conducted a proof-of-concept field efficacy trial in the Amazonian city of Iquitos, Peru, to quantify the reduction of vector density, parity, and sex ratio and symptomatic human dengue infection over a 3.5 year follow-up period. After three baseline entomological surveys in core (753 houses), and buffer (1,549 houses) areas where traps were placed in and around homes, and a control (1,233 houses) area without traps, entomological surveys were carried out every 2 months, and household residents were monitored for dengue disease 3 times a week. Trap maintenance was conducted at 2-3 week intervals by study staff during the first 2.5 years and by residents in the final year. ResultsTotal and female Ae. aegypti abundance demonstrated a strong initial effect with 52% and 47% fewer mosquitoes after trap placement, respectively (Total: RR = 0.48, 95% CI: 0.40 - 0.58, p < 0.001; Females: RR = 0.53, 95% CI: 0.43 - 0.66, p < 0.001). The effect diminished significantly, however, over the study period (interaction coefficient = 0.035 per month, p < 0.001; interaction coefficient = 0.030 per month, p < 0.001). Female-to-male ratio decreased after trap deployment and impact on non-Aedes abundance was like that of Aedes. Cumulative symptomatic dengue incidence was 1.40% (95% CI: 1.00%-1.70%) in the ALOT area versus 3.20% (95% CI: 2.60%-3.80%) in the control area, a 56% relative reduction (log-rank {chi}{superscript 2}=30.0, p<0.001). Restricted mean survival time analysis showed participants in the intervention area on average remained dengue-free for 15.5 additional days (95% CI: 11.1-20.0, p<0.001). ConclusionsThe ALOT strategy functioned as predicted, decreasing but not eliminating female vector densities, with a clear public health impact, lowering dengue disease in areas where traps were deployed. Our study also illustrates the challenges associated with conducting large-scale vector control trials and the need to consider programmatic implementation early in the process of bringing a new product to market. Author SummaryDengue is one of the most important mosquito transmitted infections worldwide. Aedes aegypti, the most important species involved, has a unique biology living in containers associated with households. New methods to control this mosquito are needed and we present our evaluation of a novel trap called the Attractive Lethal OviTrap (ALOT) that targets older female mosquitoes that are the most important for dengue disease transmission. We conducted a trial in the Amazonian city of Iquitos, Peru, to measure reductions in mosquito numbers, age, and sex ratio and symptomatic human dengue infections over a 3.5 years. After baseline entomological surveys prior to placing ALOT traps in homes in a treatment area, which included a central core area with 753 houses and a protective buffer area with 1,549 houses areas. We also had a control area without any traps in 1,233 houses. Mosquito surveys were carried out every 2 months, and household residents were monitored for dengue disease 3 times per week. Trap maintenance was conducted at 2 - 3 week intervals by study staff during the first 2.5 years and by residents in the final year. The number of all Ae. aegypti were initially reduced by 52% after trap placement whereas females were reduced by 47%. The effect diminished significantly, however, over the study period. Female-to-male ratio decreased after trap deployment and impact on other mosquito species was like that of Aedes. Dengue incidence was 56% less in the area with traps compared to the control area, estimating that participants in the intervention area on average remained dengue-free for 15.5 additional days. The ALOT strategy functioned as predicted, decreasing but not eliminating female mosquitos and had a clear public health impact, lowering dengue disease in areas where traps were deployed. Our study also illustrates the challenges associated with conducting large-scale vector control trials and the need to consider programmatic implementation early in the process of bringing a new product to market.

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Thermal fertility limits reveal underestimated climatic suitability for Aedes aegypti in temperate regions

Haziqah-Rashid, A.; Metelmann, S.; Stobierska, K.; Gawne, K.; Yu, H.; Sherlock, K.; Baylis, M.; Chrostek, E.; Blagrove, M.

2026-08-07 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.06.743224 medRxiv
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Predicting species distributions under climate change typically relies on thermal limits for survival. However, recent evidence suggests that sublethal temperatures that reduce fertility can constrain distributions more strongly than temperatures causing mortality alone. Despite the importance of mosquitoes as vectors of human disease, thermal fertility limits remain largely uncharacterized in these insects. Here, we show that fertility in Aedes aegypti is highly sensitive to thermal stress and exhibits distinct sex-specific responses. Adult males were more vulnerable to both heat and cold exposure than females. At 38{degrees}C, survival remained high in both sexes despite significant reproductive impairment, indicating that sterility can occur independently of mortality. Similarly, exposure to 2{degrees}C induced male sterility whereas females maintained reproductive function. Morphological analyses of reproductive organs showed temperature-associated damage consistent with the observed fertility loss. Incorporating these fertility thresholds into ecological niche models generated different predictions of climatic suitability compared with models based solely on lethal temperature limits. Our findings demonstrate that sublethal effects on reproduction can substantially influence estimates of mosquito climatic suitability and highlight the importance of incorporating fertility based thermal limits into projections of vector distributions and disease risk under future climate change.

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Blocking primer improves detection of tick-borne pathogens in Ixodes scapularis (black-legged ticks) from a Lyme disease hotspot region in eastern Ontario, Canada.

Kannurpatti Srinivasan, S. K.; Afsharnezhad, S.; Paulson, A. R.; Bourne, D. C.; Sun, Z.; Carver, L. F.; Tirani, J.; Wong, H.; Sjaarda, C. J.; He, S.; Sheth, P. M.; Colautti, R. I.

2026-08-21 genomics 10.64898/2026.08.17.745364 medRxiv
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Tick-borne pathogen (TBP) surveillance strategies that rely exclusively on targeted methods like PCR (PCR) or immunoblots do not benefit from strain-level sequence variation. Bacterial 16S rRNA metabarcoding offers more agnostic detection but is constrained in I. scapularis by the dominance of a maternally inherited endosymbiont, Rickettsia buchneri. Here we report the design and evaluation of three R. buchneri-specific blocking primers to suppress endosymbiont amplification during full-length 16S rRNA library preparation. Of these, primer 18F-Rb-C3 reduced R. buchneri relative abundance approximately 32-fold. We applied 18F-Rb-C3 with V4-16S metabarcode sequencing on 67 ticks collected from farm animals in Eastern Ontario and compared Borrelia species detection against qPCR. The V4-16S rRNA metabarcoding identified Borrelia species in 21 samples, whereas qPCR detected Borrelia in 24 samples and 11 samples were detected by both methods. Additionally, metabarcoding detected Anaplasma phagocytophilum in 12 samples, including seven samples coinfected with Borrelia, in the same assay. Variation relevant to strain surveillance was also detected by sequencing, though V4-16S was not sufficient to resolve closely related Borrelia genospecies or A. phagocytophilum variants. These findings demonstrate that blocking primer 18F-Rb-C3 enhances sensitivity of amplicon sequencing to the level of qPCR while also detecting other pathogens and sequence variants in a single assay.

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Refining mechanistic models to better predict larval and nymphal activity patterns of Ixodes scapularis

Mowry, S.; Perkins, A.

2026-08-27 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.26.747079 medRxiv
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The black-legged tick (Ixodes scapularis), a key vector of Lyme disease, anaplasmosis, and babesiosis, exhibits regionally distinct patterns of seasonal activity driven by climate. Consequently, the relative timing of larval and nymphal activity varies across geographic locations, influencing pathogen transmission dynamics. Early-emerging nymphs may increase pathogen transmission, whereas early-emerging larvae may reduce transmission. In addition, synchrony between the two life-stages facilitates co-feeding transmission, which contributes to pathogen maintenance and coinfection risk. Temperature is thought to be an important driver of tick phenology, but existing mechanistic models that incorporate temperature fail to accurately capture the timing of larval and nymphal tick activity. To address this limitation, we developed a mechanistic model that includes two additional factors: humidity-dependent questing and low rates of overwinter development. To assess the value of these factors for explaining real-world patterns, we fitted alternative models to tick collection data from the National Ecological Observatory Network. In doing so, we found that explicitly incorporating humidity is necessary to reproduce observed tick phenology, with larval ticks being especially sensitive to relative humidity compared to other life stages. In addition, we found that accounting for humidity had a larger effect at Mid-Atlantic sites than at Northeastern sites, underscoring the importance of region-specific interactions between temperature and humidity in shaping I. scapularis phenology. By more accurately capturing tick seasonality compared to existing mechanistic models, our model illustrates the importance of accounting for factors beyond temperature for investigating how climate variability influences seasonal tick activity and pathogen transmission.

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An ecological study of the effect of white-tailed deer on alpha-gal syndrome in United States counties

Piccininni, M.; Cadahia, L.; Stensrud, M. J.

2026-08-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.13.26360354 medRxiv
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Background: Alpha-gal syndrome (AGS) is an emerging disease, increasingly recognized as a public health concern in the United States. The primary cause of AGS in the United States is the bite of Amblyomma americanum ticks. White-tailed deer serve both as a preferred food source and as transport for A. americanum. In this work, we aim to quantify the effect of white-tailed deer abundance on number of AGS cases in United States counties. Methods: To mitigate concerns about confounding, we used the front-door formula, leveraging biological knowledge about the causal process. Due to lack of official data, our analysis relied on data made available by citizen science efforts. Results: We found that a higher number of reported white-tailed deer sightings in 2020 was associated with the county-level presence of A. americanum in 2024. In turn, county-level presence of A. americanum was associated with a higher number of self-reported AGS cases. We estimated that if white-tailed deer abundance had increased by 50%, 75%, or 100% in 2020, there would have been 89 (95%CI: 12, 252), 126 (12, 354) or 159 (6, 448) additional AGS self-reported cases in the US in 2025. Conclusions: The estimated associations are compatible with an effect of white-tailed deer abundance on AGS in the country. Due to measurement error, the low granularity of the available data, the ecological nature of the design, and the modelling choices, our effect estimates should be interpreted cautiously. Further studies are needed to quantify the population-level effect of white-tailed deer on AGS.

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Species-specific susceptibility and low transmission of the historical Japanese encephalitis virus Nakayama strain in North American Culex mosquitoes

Fay, R. L.; Banker, E. M.; Payne, A. F.; Dupuis, A. P.; Stout, J.; Russell, A.; Schnurr, V.; Bialosuknia, S. M.; Munn, L.; Mordecai, E. A.; Ciota, A. T.

2026-08-11 molecular biology 10.64898/2026.08.10.744046 medRxiv
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Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is an emerging mosquito-borne flavivirus with potential for geographic expansion, yet the risk of establishment in North America remains poorly characterized. We assessed vector competence of three North American Culex species (Cx. pipiens, Cx. quinquefasciatus, and Cx. tarsalis) for the JEV Nakayama strain, isolated from human brain in 1934 in Japan, across five constant temperatures (15, 20, 25, 30, and 33{degrees}C) at 4, 7, and 14 days post-feeding, quantifying infection, dissemination, and transmission rates. Vector competence was low but non-zero across all species. Cx. pipiens showed higher infection rates than the other species, whereas Cx. quinquefasciatus and Cx. tarsalis were minimally susceptible under these experimental conditions. Temperature had limited effects on infection and no detectable effects on dissemination or transmission. These findings suggest limited transmission potential of JEV Nakayama in North America, with Cx. pipiens as a relatively permissive vector.

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Development and validation of an SDA-500 Anopheles stephensi cell line for molecular studies

Kavil, S.; Jinmi, D.; Alphey, L.; Anderson, M. A. E.

2026-08-18 cell biology 10.64898/2026.08.14.744812 medRxiv
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BackgroundMalaria control is increasingly challenged by the urban-adapted vector Anopheles stephensi, yet molecular and cellular tools for this species remain scarce, restricting functional genomic studies and the development of genetic control strategies. To help address this gap, we established a new embryo-derived Anopheles stephensi cell line. ResultsWe generated and characterised a novel embryo-derived Anopheles stephensi (SDA-500) cell line capable of sustained growth in vitro. Species identity was confirmed by mitochondrial COI barcoding, and karyotypic analysis revealed a diploid chromosome complement with the presence of a Y chromosome, confirming that at least some cells are of male origin. Transfection conditions were optimized, with TransIT-PRO showing higher efficiency than Lipofectamine-based reagents. Using a dual-luciferase reporter assay, of several promoters tested the Anopheles gambiae polyubiquitin promoter exhibited the strongest and most consistent transcriptional activity in SDA-500 cells. ConclusionsThe SDA-500 cell line provides a stable and genetically validated in vitro platform that supports efficient transgene expression. This resource provides a useful system for functional genomics and molecular manipulation in Anopheles stephensi and is expected to facilitate studies of mosquito biology and contribute to the development of novel malaria control strategies.

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Quantifying the impact of experimental hut design on intervention evaluation outcomes and predicted reductions in vectorial capacity

Fairbanks, E. L.; Assenga, A.; Odufuwa, O. G.; N'Guessan, R. K.; Moore, J.; Moore, S. J.

2026-08-25 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.24.746696 medRxiv
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Experimental hut trials (EHTs) are WHO-recommended for the entomological evaluation of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs), but several hut designs are in operational use, and structural differences between them may confound efficacy predictions and limit cross-site comparability. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical framework comprising a host-seeking model, which jointly estimates biting deterrence and preprandial mortality while accounting for night-to-night variation and overdispersion, and a postprandial mortality model, which expresses hut and net effects as hazard ratios through a complementary log-log link. We applied it to a comparative trial of four hut designs (East African, West African, Ifakara and Rapley) conducted at a single site in Tanzania, evaluating eight ITNs when new and after twenty washes. Posterior estimates parameterise a vectorial capacity framework to predict reductions in transmission potential. Hut design influenced baseline mosquito behaviour and all three modes of action. Relative to the Rapley reference, baseline feeding rates were substantially lower in the East African and West African huts and closer to Rapley in the Ifakara hut. Preprandial mortality was amplified in the Ifakara hut. Comparing to previous analysis provides evidence that combining mortality before and after feeding into a single endpoint does not reliably reflect impact, supporting the decomposition of entomological outcomes into separate modes of action. Expressing modes of action as mechanism-specific parameters allows the estimates to be carried directly into transmission models. For every net, the predicted reduction in vectorial capacity was greatest in the Ifakara hut and smallest in the West African and Rapley huts. The effect of hut design on predicted impact exceeded that of washing the nets twenty times. Results indicate that the hut design under which trial data were collected should be considered when forecasting population-level effect.

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Freeze tolerance of a beneficial lady beetle, Hippodamia convergens

Ehler, H. E.; Keenan, T. A.; Evans, L. E.; Weisshaar, M. M. R.; Barrett, E. L.; Kirkham, L. J.; Macfarlane, J. K.; Silver, A. B.; Romero, M. F. A.; Alford, B. R.; Rosero, A. M. A.; Clancy, R. P.; Fraser, S. D.; Glennie, G. M.; Hooper, K. E. D.; MacGrath, K. E.; Nauss, J. M.; Pictou, L. A.; Putnam, M. K.; Sturmy, Z. M.; Perry, J. C.; Toxopeus, J.

2026-08-18 zoology 10.64898/2026.08.13.744689 medRxiv
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The convergent lady beetle Hippodamia convergens is widespread in the Americas and considered an important beneficial insect due to its use in pest control. Early work on this species characterized the beetles as freeze-avoidant (freeze-intolerant), suggesting they survive low winter temperatures by physiologically preventing ice formation to temperatures as low as -15{degrees}C. Here, we show that H. convergens can be freeze-tolerant if ice formation occurs at relatively high temperatures. There was 100% survival following inoculative freezing at -0.5{degrees}C and exposure to -3{degrees}C for 20 hours, as well as freezing that spontaneously occurred in fed beetles exposed to -4{degrees}C for 4 hours. Males exposed to 0{degrees}C or -4{degrees}C for 4 hours had similar mating behaviours (latency to first mating, copulation duration) as control beetles exposed to 4{degrees}C, although sample sizes were too small to determine whether freezing itself had an effect on these behaviours. Several putative cryoprotectants were detected in fat body tissue of H. convergens: glycerol, proline, trehalose, and myo-inositol - in order of abundance. Exposure to -3{degrees}C for 20 hours, whether frozen or unfrozen, did not statistically affect cryoprotectant accumulation, although there was a trend towards increased glycerol following freezing. This study is the first to describe inoculative freeze tolerance in a lady beetle and establishes a baseline for future studies that examine the mechanisms underlying this freeze tolerance and the effects of freezing on reproductive behaviour. Graphical abstract O_FIG O_LINKSMALLFIG WIDTH=200 HEIGHT=69 SRC="FIGDIR/small/744689v1_ufig1.gif" ALT="Figure 1"> View larger version (16K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1c0382org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@12a5932org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@145f4adorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@1c2cb22_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG O_LIHippodamia convergens can tolerate freezing at high subzero temperatures C_LIO_LIMating behaviour of males is normal after chilling or freezing C_LIO_LICryoprotectant accumulation may support overwintering survival C_LI

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Mosquito infection-mediated trait variation alters temperature-dependent transmission of West Nile virus

Fay, R. L.; Cruz-Loya, M.; Banker, E. M.; Mordecai, E. A.; Ciota, A. T.

2026-08-07 microbiology 10.64898/2026.08.06.743329 medRxiv
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Rising global temperatures are reshaping species interactions and the ecological conditions governing vector-borne disease transmission. Although previous studies show that West Nile virus (WNV) infection alters mosquito longevity, fecundity, blood-feeding behavior, and the thermal performance of these traits, trait-based R models largely rely on data from uninfected mosquitoes, implicitly assuming homogeneous vector populations. This overlooks infection-induced trait variation that may influence transmission dynamics. Here, we examined how temperature, infection status, and viral strain interact to shape transmission potential for WNV in Culex pipiens. Life-history traits of WNV-exposed and unexposed mosquitoes were measured across constant temperatures ranging from 10{degrees}C to 33{degrees}C, as well as under a fluctuating temperature regime of 25{degrees}C {+/-} 5{degrees}C. These data were used to generate thermal performance curves and estimate temperature-dependent relative R across treatments. Infection altered the thermal performance of mosquito life-history traits, vector competence, and overall transmission potential. We also found evidence for a bimodal effect of temperature on vector competence, potentially driven by tradeoffs between viral replication and mosquito immune responses. Incorporating infection-sensitive traits into relative R calculations reduced estimated transmission intensity across much of the thermal range without shifting thermal optima or limits, suggesting that current models may overestimate transmission.

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Assessing RNA as a tool to detect scavenging in a riparian invertebrate predator

Rüschendorf, A.; Middendorf, F.; Schirmel, J.; Eitzinger, B.

2026-08-07 ecology 10.64898/2026.08.07.743337 medRxiv
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Riparian environments are characterised by a high diversity of arthropod species, linking the aquatic with the terrestrial ecosystem. One of the dominant arthropod predators in this ecotone, carabid beetles are of particular interest as they may also act as facultative scavengers, feeding on carrion deposited along the shoreline. To test whether carabids feed on carrion, we examined the feeding preferences of the abundant riparian carabid Bembidion elongatum in a laboratory feeding trial, offering freshly killed and 24 hours post mortem Drosophila melanogaster. We subsequently assessed the detection probability of ribosomal prey RNA and DNA in predator gut contents using Drosophila-specific RT-PCR and PCR assays, and quantified nucleotide abundance by quantitative real-time PCR at 0, 3, 6, and 12 hours post-feeding. In the feeding experiment, B. elongatum showed a significant preference for fresh over carrion prey. Following consumption, the quantities of prey DNA and RNA in the predators gut declined over a 12-hour post-feeding period. However, no differences were detected in prey DNA or RNA quantities between individuals fed fresh prey and those fed carrion. Only immediately after consumption was the DNA:RNA ratio significantly lower in individuals fed fresh prey compared to those fed carrion while this difference was not observed at later time points. Overall, our results indicate that ingested ribosomal prey RNA in predators is present in high quantities, and that the DNA:RNA ratio is not a suitable indicator for distinguishing between consumption of carrion and fresh prey.